[1] Lima A R A,Baltazar-Soares M,Garrido S,et al.Forecasting shifts in habitat suitability across the distribution range of a temperate small pelagic fish under different scenarios of climate change[J].Science of The Total Environment,2022,804:150167.

[2] Mediodia H J,Kahui V,Noy I.Sea surface temperature and tuna catch in the Eastern Pacific Ocean under climate change[J].Marine Resource Economics,2023,38(4):329-351.

[3] Pan R,Shu Q,Wang Q,et al.Future Arctic climate change in CMIP6 strikingly intensified by NEMO-family climate models[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2023,50(4):e2022GL102077.

[4] Serreze M C,Francis J A.The Arctic amplification debate[J].Climatic Change,2006,76(3-4):241-264.

[5] Screen J A,Simmonds I.The central role of diminishing sea ice in recent Arctic temperature amplification[J].Nature,2010,464(7293):1334-1337.

[6] Hunt G L,Blanchard A L,Boveng P,et al.The Barents and Chukchi Seas:Comparison of two Arctic shelf ecosystems[J].Journal of Marine Systems,2013,109-110:43-68.

[7] Perry A L,Low P J,Ellis J R,et al.Climate change and distribution shifts in marine fishes[J].Science,2005,308(5730):1912-1915.

[8] Doney S C,Ruckelshaus M,Emmett Duffy J,et al.Climate change impacts on marine ecosystems[J].Annual Review of Marine Science,2012,4(1):11-37.

[9] Cheung W W L,Lam V W Y,Sarmiento J L,et al.Projecting global marine biodiversity impacts under climate change scenarios[J].Fish and Fisheries,2009,10(3):235-251.

[10] Fossheim M,Primicerio R,Johannesen E,et al.Recent warming leads to a rapid borealization of fish communities in the Arctic[J].Nature Climate Change,2015,5(7):673.

[11] Renaud P E,Berge J,Varpe ?,et al.Is the poleward expansion by Atlantic cod and haddock threatening native polar cod,Boreogadus saida?[J].Polar Biology,2012,35(3):401-412.

[12] Levine R M,De Robertis A,Grünbaum D,et al.Climate-driven shifts in pelagic fish distributions in a rapidly changing Pacific Arctic[J].Deep Sea Research Part Ⅱ:Topical Studies in Oceanography,2023,208:105244.

[13] Murphy S J,Smith A B.What can community ecologists learn from species distribution models?[J].Ecosphere,2021,12(12):e03864.

[14] Peterson A T,Soberon J.Species distribution modeling and ecological niche modeling:Getting the concepts right[J].Natureza & Conservacao,2012,10(2):102-107.

[15] Elith J,Leathwick J R.Species distribution models:Ecological explanation and prediction across space and time[J].Annual Review of Ecology,Evolution,and Systematics,2009,40(1):677-697.

[16] Booth T H,Nix H A,Busby J R,et al.BIOCLIM:The first species distribution modelling package,its early applications and relevance to most current MAXENT studies[J].Diversity and Distributions,2014,20(1):1-9.

[17] 李国庆，刘长成，刘玉国，等.物种分布模型理论研究进展[J].生态学报，2013,33(16):4827-4835.Li G Q,Liu C C,Liu Y G,et al.Research progress of species distribution model theory[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2013,33(16):4827-4835.

[18] Gao Z,Ma S,Li J,et al.Climate-induced long-term variations of the Arctic ecosystems[J].Progress in Oceanography,2023,213:103006.

[19] O’Neill B C,Tebaldi C,Van Vuuren D P,et al.The scenario model intercomparison project (scenarioMIP) for CMIP6[J].Geoscientific Model Development,2016,9(9):3461-3482.

[20] 周天军，邹立维，陈晓龙.第六次国际耦合模式比较计划(CMIP6)评述[J].气候变化研究进展，2019,15(5):445-456.Zhou T J,Zou L W,Chen X L.Review of the sixth international programme for the intercomparison of coupled models (CMIP6)[J].Climate Change Research,2019,15(5):445-456.

[21] Fournier A,Barbet-Massin M,Rome Q,et al.Predicting species distribution combining multi-scale drivers[J].Global Ecology and Conservation,2017,12:215-226.

[22] Barbet-Massin M,Jiguet F,Albert C H,et al.Selecting pseudo-absences for species distribution models:How,where and how many?[J].Methods in Ecology and Evolution,2012,3(2):327-338.

[23] Duan R Y,Kong X Q,Huang M Y,et al.The predictive performance and stability of six species distribution models[J].PLoS One,2014,9(11):e112764.

[24] 仉天宇，邵全琴，周成虎.卫星测高数据在渔情分析中的应用探索[J].水产科学，2001(6):4-8.Zhang T Y,Shao Q Q,Zhou C H.Application of satellite altimetry data in fishery analysis[J].Fisheries Science,2001(6):4-8.

[25] Cheung W W L,Watson R,Pauly D.Signature of ocean warming in global fisheries catch[J].Nature,2013,497(7449):365-368.

[26] Richardson A J,Brown C J,Brander K,et al.Climate change and marine life[J].Biology Letters,2012,8(6):907-909.

[27] Melnikov I A,Chernova N V.Characteristics of under-ice swarming of polar cod Boreogadus saida (Gadidae) in the Central Arctic Ocean[J].Journal of Ichthyology,2013,53(1):7-15.

[28] Geoffroy M,Bouchard C,Flores H,et al.The circumpolar impacts of climate change and anthropogenic stressors on Arctic cod (Boreogadus saida) and its ecosystem[J].Elementa-Science of the Anthropocene,2023,11(1):97.

[29] Marsh J M,Mueter F J.Influences of temperature,predators,and competitors on polar cod (Boreogadus saida) at the southern margin of their distribution[J].Polar Biology,2020,43(8):995-1014.

[30] Leo E,Kunz K L,Schmidt M,et al.Mitochondrial acclimation potential to ocean acidification and warming of Polar cod (Boreogadus saida) and Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua)[J].Frontiers in Zoology,2017,14(1):21.

[31] Pettitt-Wade H,Loseto L L,Majewski A,et al.Cod movement ecology in a warming world:Circumpolar arctic gadids[J].Fish and Fisheries,2021,22(3):562-591.

[32] Vestfals C D,Mueter F J,Duffy-Anderson J T,et al.Spatio-temporal distribution of polar cod (Boreogadus saida) and saffron cod (Eleginus gracilis) early life stages in the Pacific Arctic[J].Polar Biology,2019,42(5):969-990.

[33] Hop H,Gj?s?ter H.Polar cod (Boreogadus saida) and capelin (Mallotus villosus) as key species in marine food webs of the Arctic and the Barents Sea[J].Marine Biology Research,2013,9(9):878-894.

[34] Engelhard G H,Righton D A,Pinnegar J K.Climate change and fishing:A century of shifting distribution in North Sea cod[J].Global Change Biology,2014,20(8):2473-2483.

[35] Butzin M,P?rtner H.Thermal growth potential of Atlantic cod by the end of the 21st century[J].Global Change Biology,2016,22(12):4162-4168.

[36] Cote D,Konecny C A,Seiden J,et al.Forecasted shifts in thermal habitat for cod species in the Northwest Atlantic and eastern Canadian Arctic[J].Frontiers in Marine Science,2021,8:764072.

[37] Mecklenburg C W,Byrkjedal I,Karamushko O V,et al.Atlantic fishes in the Chukchi borderland[J].Marine Biodiversity,2014,44(1):127-150.

[38] Stevenson D E,Lauth R R.Bottom trawl surveys in the northern Bering Sea indicate recent shifts in the distribution of marine species[J].Polar Biology,2019,42(2):407-421.

[39] 宋婷婷，樊伟，伍玉梅.卫星遥感海面高度数据在渔场分析中的应用综述[J].海洋通报，2013,32(4):474-480.Song T T,Fan W,Wu Y M.Application of satellite remote sensing sea surface height data to fisheries analysis[J].Marine Science Bulletin,2013,32(4):474-480.

[40] Wildes S,Whittle J,Nguyen H,et al.Walleye Pollock breach the Bering Strait:A change of the cods in the Arctic[J].Deep Sea Research Part Ⅱ:Topical Studies in Oceanography,2022,204:105165.