| 252 | 3 | 253 |
| 下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
利用NCEP-NCAR再分析位势高度、风矢量、海表面热通量数据,HadSST1再分析海温资料、CPC逐月北大西洋涛动(NAO)指数等,通过滞后回归分析了北大西洋海温异常对NAO的影响。结果显示,夏秋季北大西洋马蹄型海温通过海洋-大气相互作用导致冬季大气呈现NAO型气压场特征;与此同时,秋季大气场表现出反位相的NAO型环流形势突变,ECHAM4大气环流模型数值试验和观测资料统计分析均发现:热带大西洋海温异常(对流异常)可激发向中高纬度传播的遥相关波列,且具有秋季锁相的特征。马蹄型海温对大气的局地强迫联合热带大西洋异常海温的遥相关作用使得秋季NAO完成一次正负位相转换。
Abstract:Using NCEP-NCAR reanalysis of geopotential height,wind,surface heat flux,HadSST1 SST,CPC North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO)index,impacts of North Atlantic SST anomalies on NAO have been analyzed through regression analysis.The autumn North Atlantic Horseshoe(NAH)SST pattern reproduces negative NAO pattern in winter through ocean-atmosphere interaction.A positive NAO pattern change occurs in autumn,ECHAM4 model experiments and observation data illustrate that warmer tropical Atlantic SST forces a teleconnection wave train and remotely reverses the negative NAO phase to positive.The mechanism analysis indicates its seasonal lock nature,further suggests that combined effects of NAH and tropical Atlantic SST make a phase change cycle of NAO.
[1]Walker G T.Correlation in Seasonal Variations of Weather,IX.A Further Study of World Weather[M].Calcutta:Government of India Press,1924:275-333.
[2]Eastman R,Stephen G W.Interannual variations of Arctic cloud types in relation to sea ice[J].J Climate,2010,23:4216-4232.
[3]Hurrell J W,Loon H V.Decadal variations in climate associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation[J].Climate Change,1997,36:301-326.
[4]Gerald A M,Harry V L.The seesaw in winter temperatures between Greenland and Northern Europe.Part III:Teleconnections with lower latitudes[J].Mon Wea Rev,1979,107(9):1095-1106.
[5]Hurrell J W.Decadal trends in the North Atlantic oscillation:regional temperatures and precipitation[J].Science,1995,269(5524):676-679.
[6]Luo D H,Gong T.A possible mechanism for the eastward shift of interannual NAO action centers in last three decades[J].Geophy Res Lett,2006,33(24):L24815.
[7]Luo D H,Gong T,Lupo A R.Dynamics of eddy-driven low-frequency dipole modes.Part II:Free mode characteristics of NAO and diagnostic study[J].J Atmos Sci,2007,64:29-51.
[8]Walter A R.Eddy feedbacks on the zonal index and eddy-zonal flow interactions induced by zonal flow transience[J].J Atmos Sci,1994,51(17):2553-2562.
[9]Yue X,Liao H,Wang H,et al.Role of sea surface temperature responses in simulation of the climatic effect of mineral dust aerosol[J].Atmos Chem Phys,2011,11:6049-6062.
[10]Watanabe M,Kimoto M.Atmosphere-ocean thermal coupling in the North Atlantic:A positive feedback[J].Quart J Roy Meteor Soc,2000,126:3343-3369.
[11]龚道溢,王绍武.北大西洋涛动指数的比较及其年代际变率[J].大气科学,2000,24(2):187-192.Gong Daoyi,Wang Shaowu.The North Atlantic oscillation index and its interdecadal variability[J].Chinese Jouranl of Atmospheric Sciences,2000,24(2):187-192.
[12]李崇银,李桂龙.北大西洋涛动和北太平洋涛动的演变与20世纪60年代的气候突变[J].科学通报,1999,44(16):1765-1769.Li Chongyin,Li Guilong.The evolution of the North Atlantic Oscillation and the North Pacific Oscillation climate change in 1960s[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,1999,44(16):1765-1769.
[13]武炳义,黄荣辉.1999,冬季北大西洋涛动极端异常变化与东亚冬季风[J].大气科学,1999,23(6):641-651.Wu Bingyi,Huang Ronghui.Effects of the extremes in the North Atlantic Oscillation on East Asia winter monsoon[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,1999,23(6):641-651.
[14]Drevillon M,Cassou C,Terray K.Model study of the wintertime atmospheric response to fall tropical Atlantic SST anomalies[J].Quart Quart J Roy Meteor Soc,2003,129:2591-2611.
[15]Deser C,Blackmon M.Surface climate variations over the North Atlantic Ocean during winter:1900-1989[J].J Climate,1993,6:1743-1753.
[16]Delworth T,Manabe S,Stouffer R J.Interdecadal variations of the thermohaline circulation in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model[J].J Climate,1993,6:1993-2011.
[17]Osborn T J,Briffa K R,Jones P D,et al.Relationships between European climate and the North Atlantic oscillation:Observations,models and paleodata[R].[s.l.]:CRU/UEA GR9/025221998:1-8.
[18]Cassou C,Deser C,Laurent T,et al.Summer sea surface temperature conditions in the North Atlantic and their impact upon the atmospheric circulation in early winter[J].J Climate,2004,17:3349-3363.
[19]Hoskins B J,Karoly D J.The steady linear response of a spherical atmosphere to thermal and orographic forcing[J].J Atmos Sci,1981,38(6):1179-1196.
[20]Czaja A,Frankignoul C.Observed impact of Atlantic SST anomalies on the North Atlantic Oscillation[J].J Climate,2001,15:606-623.
[21]Kalnay E,Kanamitsu M,Kistler R,et al.The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project[J].Bull Amer Meteor Soc,2003,77(3):437-471.
[22]金红梅,何文平,侯威,等.不同趋势对滑动移除近似熵的影响[J].物理学报,2012,61(6):069201.Jin Hongmei,He Wenping,Hou Wei,et al.Effects of different trends on moving cut data-approximate entropy[J].Acta Phys Sin,2012,61(6):069201.
[23]Roeckner E,Bauml G,Bonaventura L,et al.The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5[J].ReP,2003,349:127.
[24]余锦华,唐盛,吴立广,等.IPCC AR4模式对热带气旋热力控制因子的模拟评估[J].海洋学报,2011,33(6):39-54.Yu Jinhua,Tang Sheng,Wu Liguang,et al.Assessments in simulation of thermodynamic parameters of tropical cyclone in IPCCAR4Models[J].Acta Oceanologica Sinica,2011,33(6):39-54.
[25]Czaja A,Frankignoul C.Influence of the North Atlantic SST on the atmospheric circulation[J].Geophys Res Lett,1999,26:2969-2972.
[26]Drevillon M,Terray L,Rogel P,et al.Midlatitude Atlantic SST influence on European winter climate variability in the NCEPNCAR reanalysis[J].Climate Dyn,2001,18:331-344.
[27]Cassou C,Deser C,Laurent T,et al.Summer sea surface temperature conditions in the North Atlantic and their impact upon the atmospheric circulation in early winter[J].J Climate,2004,17:3349-3363.
[28]Li J P,Wang J X.A new North Atlantic Oscillation index and its variability[J].Adv Atmos Sci,2003a,20:661-676.
[29]段安民,吴国雄.非绝热条件下的波流相互作用与大气能量循环[J].中国科学,2005,35(4):352-360.Duan Anmin,Wu Guoxiong.Wave-flow interaction and atmospheric energy cycle under diabatic conditions[J].Science in China,2005,35(4):352-360.
[30]谭本馗.大气Rossby波动力学的研究进展[J].气象学报,2008,66(6):870-879.Tan Benkui.Advances of atmospheric of Rossby waves dynamics[J].Acta Meteorology Sinica,2008,66(6):870-879.
[31]Lee S K,Wang C Z,Brain E M.A simple atmospheric model of the local and teleconnection responses to tropical heating anomalies[J].J Climate,2008,22(2):272-284.
[32]Wang C Z,Lee S K,Enfield D B.Atlantic warm pool acting as a link between Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and Atlantic tropical cyclone activity[J].Geochem Geophy Geosyst,2008,9(5):Q05V03.
[33]Lee S K,Enfield D B,Wang C Z.What drives the seasonal onset and decay of the Western Hemisphere warm pool?[J].J Climate,2007,20(10):2133-2146.
基本信息:
DOI:10.16441/j.cnki.hdxb.20160051
中图分类号:P732.6
引用信息:
[1]梅笑冬,孙即霖,孙雅文.基于遥相关的NAO位相转换影响机理研究分析[J],2017,47(01):7-16.DOI:10.16441/j.cnki.hdxb.20160051.
基金信息:
国家自然科学基金项目(41276012);; 国家自然科学重点基金项目(41430963)资助~~
2016-03-01
2016
2016-04-20
2016-12-14
2016
1