西北太平洋累积气旋能量的年代际变化The Decadal Variations of Accumulated Cyclone Energy over the Western North Pacific
王功录,王启,赵海
摘要(Abstract):
利用1949—2011年CMA-STI热带气旋最佳路径数据集,分析了西北太平洋累积气旋能量(ACE)的年代际变化特征。结果表明,西北太平洋热带气旋(ACE)的年代际变化主要分为1957—1967高值期、1976—1986过渡期和1998—2008低值期。其中强热带风暴(STS)、台风(TY)和超强台风(SuperTY),特别超强台风是决定成分。副热带高压偏弱,垂直风切变偏小,低纬度低空正涡度异常偏东以及低纬度海表面温度(SST)正异常偏东等背景场的年代际特征,有利于形成ACE的年代高值期。
关键词(KeyWords): 西北太平洋热带气旋;累积气旋能量(ACE);副热带高压;垂直风切变
基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点基础研究发展计划项目(2012CB417402;2013CB956201)资助
作者(Author): 王功录,王启,赵海
DOI: 10.16441/j.cnki.hdxb.2014.05.003
参考文献(References):
- [1]Bell G D,Halpert M S,Schnell R C,et al.Climate assessment for1999[J].Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2000,81(6):1-50.
- [2]Camargo S J,Sobel A H.Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensity and ENSO[J].Journal of Climate,2005,18:2996-3006.
- [3]Sobel A H,Camargo S J.Influence of western North Pacific tropical cyclones on their large-scale environment[J].Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences,2005,62:3396-3407.
- [4]Chan J L.Interannual variations of intense typhoon activity[J].Tellus,2007,59A:455-460.
- [5]Klotzbach P J.Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years(1986-2005)[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2006,33(10),L10805,doi:10.1029/2006GL025881.
- [6]黄丽娜,林笑茹,曾华,等.西北太平洋台风累积动能的气候特征[J].气象,2009,35(9):44-50.
- [7]邱品竣,余嘉峪.西北太平洋地区台风活跃度分析:活跃年和不活跃年比较[J].大气科学(台湾),2005,34(3):201-215.
- [8]赖芬芬.西北太平洋热带气旋强度的变化特征及机理研究[D].南京:南京大学,2011.
- [9]黄静.影响广东的热带气旋与ENSO的关系[J].气象,2006,32(9):55-59.
- [10]黄静,姜丽萍,方宇凌.广东防区内热带气旋与ENSO的关系[J].热带气象学报,2006,22(3):274-277.
- [11]Gray W M.Global view of the origin of tropical disturbances and storms[J].Monthly Weather Review,1968,96:669-700.
- [12]Wan C Z,Lee S K.Atlantic warm pool,Caribbean lowlevel jet,and their potential impact on Atlantic hurricanes[J].Geophys Res Lett,2007,34,L02703,doi:10.1029/2006GL028579.
- [13]Mebride J L,Zehr R M.Observational analysis of tropical cyclone formation.PartⅡ:Comparison of non-developing versus developing systems[J].Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences,1981,38:1132-1151.
- [14]Zehr R M.Environmental vertical wind Shear with hurricane Bertha(1996)[J].Weather and Forecasting,2003,18:345-356.
- [15]Frank W M,Ritchie E A.Effects of environmental flow on tropical cyclone structure[J].Mon Wea Rev,1999,127:2044-2061.
- [16]卢秋珍,胡邦辉,王学忠,等.西北太平洋台风活动的年代际变化与大尺度环流因子的关系[J].热带气象学报,2007,23(6):629-635.
文章评论(Comment):
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||