北半球中高纬度大气环流主模态的季节演变及其与北极海冰变化的联系The Seasonal March of Dominate Mode of the Mid-High Latitude Atmosphere Circulation in Northern Hemisphere and the Associated Arctic Sea Ice
樊婷婷,黄菲,苏洁
摘要(Abstract):
利用31a(1979—2009)气候月平均的海平面气压(SLP)资料,提出1种与北半球中高纬度环流转变相适应的分季法。并根据这个客观分季方法,通过SEOF分析,发现大气环流主模态的季节演变有着典型的北极涛动(AO)空间结构,其时间系数在1990年代中期发生转型。500hPa上纬向波的涡度有着南北反位相的分布特征,冬季正涡度的区域对应着气旋性环流,其覆盖范围广,而夏季正涡度区域更偏北,可见AO在冬季增强,夏季减弱。北半球SLP异常的EOF分解第一模态为北极涛动(AO),第二模态是偶极异常(DA);将这2个模态称之为北半球中高纬度大气环流异常的优势模态。通过计算优势模态与海冰面积的超前滞后相关性,发现AO依然是控制海冰变化的前期大气环流异常的模态,而DA则可能是海冰快速变化后期大气环流的主导模态。
关键词(KeyWords): 客观分季;中高纬;大气环流;季节演变;优势模态;北极海冰
基金项目(Foundation): 全球变化研究国家重大科学研究计划项目(2010CB951403);; 国家自然科学基金项目(40876003;40975038)资助
作者(Author): 樊婷婷,黄菲,苏洁
DOI: 10.16441/j.cnki.hdxb.2012.z2.003
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