1961—2015年中国倒春寒频数的时空特征及其与太平洋海温的关系Spatial-Temporal Characteristics of the Spring Cold Surge Frequency in China and Its Relationship with Pacific SST During 1961—2015
张丽君,黄菲,陈峥,王宏
摘要(Abstract):
发生在春季的寒潮冷空气过程(倒春寒)往往会带来更强的气象灾害,因此对倒春寒活动规律的研究和预测有重要意义。本文对1961—2015年中国倒春寒的发生频次进行统计,发现倒春寒不仅发生在中国的北方地区,江南地区和西南地区东部也是倒春寒的高发区。中国倒春寒频次的时空变化存在两个主模态:第一模态为全国型,体现了气候平均的倒春寒频次的空间分布特征,主要以年际振荡为主,多发生在传统的东部型厄尔尼诺(El Ni1o)衰减年的春季;第二模态为南北反相型,反映了江南和东北地区倒春寒频次的反位相变化,主要体现了南方型倒春寒频发的特征,具有显著的年际和年代际振荡特征,与北太平洋“马蹄”型海表温度异常相关,同时赤道太平洋的海温异常多表现为中部型El Ni1o的海温分布特征。
关键词(KeyWords): 中国倒春寒;经验正交函数分解(EOF);东部型El Ni1o;中部型El Ni1o;北太平洋“马蹄”型海温
基金项目(Foundation): 山东省自然科学基金重大基础研究项目(ZR2019ZD12);; 国家自然科学基金项目(42075024,42006017,41906194)资助~~
作者(Author): 张丽君,黄菲,陈峥,王宏
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