陈子健,陈学恩,刘涛

• 1:中国海洋大学海洋与大气学院

摘要(Abstract)：

为提高对南黄海典型台风的中心最低气压及其最大风速的预报能力,本文以经过南黄海的典型台风——2011年09号台风"梅花"以及2015年09号台风"灿鸿"为例,基于WRF中尺度数值预报模式,以欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECWMF)的再分析资料作为模式的初始场以及侧边界条件,对南黄海台风数值模拟进行了分析。结果表明,不同微物理方案的选择对南黄海典型台风中心最低气压和最大风速模拟结果影响较小;YSU边界层方案以及KF积云对流方案组合模拟效果最佳,可使南黄海典型台风中心最低气压和最大风速的模拟结果误差最小。

关键词(KeyWords)： 南黄海;台风;WRF数值模式;参数化方案

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点研究发展计划项目“海洋环境安全保障”重点专项课题“规范化海上试验技术服务体系和标准体系构建(2016YFC1401301)”;; 山东省课题项目“黄海冷水团优质鱼类绿色养殖技术研究与示范项目(2016CYJS04A01)”;; 泰山学者项目资助~~

作者(Author): 陈子健,陈学恩,刘涛

DOI: 10.16441/j.cnki.hdxb.20180241

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• (1)http://tcdata.typhoon.org.cn/

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